Analytics

1,620

team-games analyzed, 2016–2025

All owners

Luck against skill

Above the line, wins came easier than the scoring says.

Fig. 1. Career all-play win percentage against luck, owners with two or more completed seasons.

Career all-play win percentage, luck and seasons for each ranked owner
Owner	All-play pct	Luck	Seasons
Noah	.592	−5.86	10
Alex	.591	−2.73	10
Ben	.574	+2.50	10
Nolan	.551	−1.32	10
Kyle	.523	+0.41	10
Evan	.521	+9.73	10
Jake	.478	+3.41	10
Dylan	.460	+2.32	9
Ryan	.449	+1.36	10
Bo	.435	+0.91	6
Kent	.432	−6.27	10
Kris	.427	−0.68	7
Gavin	.379	−1.91	3
Kevin	.368	−1.14	4

Luck and schedule

Luck is real wins minus the wins the all-play record predicts.

Career all-play standings
Rank	Owner	Seasons	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	SOS	PA index
1	Noah	10	74–61	878–606–1	.592	−5.86	84–51	99.7	102.2
2	Alex	10	77–58	876–607–2	.591	−2.73	82–53	99.5	100.4
3	Ben	10	80–55	852–632–1	.574	+2.50	81–54	99.6	99.0
—	Sirac	1	7–7	85–69	.552	−0.73	9–5	101.0	99.3
4	Nolan	10	73–62	816–666–3	.551	−1.32	76–59	99.5	101.5
5	Kyle	10	71–64	776–708–1	.523	+0.41	73–62	99.2	98.7
6	Evan	10	80–55	773–712	.521	+9.73	75–60	99.3	97.8
7	Jake	10	68–67	710–774–1	.478	+3.41	65–70	100.6	98.3
8	Dylan	9	58–63	611–717–3	.460	+2.32	56–65	99.4	100.5
9	Ryan	10	62–73	665–816–4	.449	+1.36	54–81	100.0	99.7
10	Bo	6	37–46	397–516	.435	+0.91	31–52	100.8	101.0
11	Kent	10	52–83	640–843–2	.432	−6.27	53–82	100.4	100.0
12	Kris	7	39–54	435–585–3	.427	−0.68	40–53	101.9	100.6
13	Gavin	3	14–28	175–287	.379	−1.91	14–28	100.7	101.1
14	Kevin	4	18–34	210–361–1	.368	−1.14	17–35	101.4	102.1

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Ranking needs two seasons: Sirac (one season) listed unranked. For SOS and PA index, 100 is the league average.

Fig. 2. Career luck: actual wins minus all-play expected wins, luckiest first.

Career luck by owner: actual wins minus all-play expected wins
Owner	wins above all-play expectation
Evan (80–55, all-play 773–712)	+9.73
Jake (68–67, all-play 710–774–1)	+3.41
Ben (80–55, all-play 852–632–1)	+2.50
Dylan (58–63, all-play 611–717–3)	+2.32
Ryan (62–73, all-play 665–816–4)	+1.36
Bo (37–46, all-play 397–516)	+0.91
Kyle (71–64, all-play 776–708–1)	+0.41
Kris (39–54, all-play 435–585–3)	−0.68
Sirac (7–7, all-play 85–69, one season, unranked)	−0.73
Kevin (18–34, all-play 210–361–1)	−1.14
Nolan (73–62, all-play 816–666–3)	−1.32
Gavin (14–28, all-play 175–287)	−1.91
Alex (77–58, all-play 876–607–2)	−2.73
Noah (74–61, all-play 878–606–1)	−5.86
Kent (52–83, all-play 640–843–2)	−6.27

Positive values are lucky; negative values are unlucky.

Season extremes

Season extremes
Measure	Owner	Season	Value	Record
Luckiest season	Jake	2020	+3.91 wins	11–2
Unluckiest season	Kent	2018	−3.09 wins	3–10
Best all-play season	Noah	2017	.790	9–4
Worst all-play season	Kris	2019	.154	2–11
Widest median gap	Evan	2018	+5 wins v the median	6–7 · median 1–12
Beat the Pythagorean line by most	Noah	2022	+2.99 wins	14–0
Fell short of it by most	Jake	2019	−2.96 wins	7–6
Hardest schedule	Jake	2016	104.5 SOS	4–9
Softest schedule	Ben	2018	95.2 SOS	10–3
Fewest points against	Jake	2018	86.0 PA index	9–4
Most points against	Jake	2017	116.9 PA index	4–9

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The Pythagorean expectation is the win total that points for and against predict.

By season

2025 · Sleeper

All-play standings, 2025
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Kent	Baby Back Gibbs	10–4	103–51	.669	+0.64	10–4	2,232.38
2	Alex	Schamerz	7–7	93–61	.604	−1.45	9–5	2,220.73
3	Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	6–8	87–67	.565	−1.91	8–6	2,151.75
4	Sirac	—	7–7	85–69	.552	−0.73	9–5	2,066.33
5	Bo	FoolsBall	10–4	83–71	.539	+2.45	7–7	2,039.25
6	Ben	Notorious CTE	9–5	75–79	.487	+2.18	8–6	2,054.49
7	Gavin	—	7–7	74–80	.481	+0.27	5–9	2,022.36
8	Kyle	Steiner’s Stallions	6–8	70–84	.455	−0.36	6–8	1,998.68
9	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	8–6	68–86	.442	+1.82	5–9	2,003.18
10	Nolan	Skol Gophers	4–10	68–86	.442	−2.18	6–8	1,977.48
11	Evan	The Greenweenies	5–9	65–89	.422	−0.91	7–7	1,875.72
12	Jake	Giebler's Elfs	5–9	53–101	.344	+0.18	4–10	1,894.38

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2024 · Sleeper

All-play standings, 2024
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	12–2	117–37	.760	+1.36	13–1	2,412.40
2	Nolan	Skol Gophers	9–5	105–49	.682	−0.55	10–4	2,271.31
3	Evan	The Greenweenies	11–3	102–52	.662	+1.73	10–4	2,268.20
4	Bo	FoolsBall	9–5	86–68	.558	+1.18	9–5	2,132.81
5	Kyle	Steiner’s Stallions	8–6	84–70	.545	+0.36	8–6	2,104.73
6	Alex	Schamerz	5–9	80–74	.519	−2.27	6–8	2,148.23
7	Jake	Giebler's Elfs	6–8	74–80	.481	−0.73	8–6	2,061.62
8	Gavin	—	3–11	63–91	.409	−2.73	5–9	2,010.53
9	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	6–8	58–96	.377	+0.73	4–10	1,978.08
10	Ben	Notorious CTE	4–10	57–97	.370	−1.18	4–10	1,936.66
11	Dylan	Civil Allegations	7–7	56–98	.364	+1.91	5–9	2,025.06
12	Kent	Baby Back Gibbs	4–10	42–112	.273	+0.18	2–12	1,865.44

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2023 · Sleeper

All-play standings, 2023
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Bo	FoolsBall	9–5	98–56	.636	+0.09	9–5	2,205.23
2	Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	9–5	96–58	.623	+0.27	10–4	2,288.93
3	Ben	The Replacements	8–6	94–60	.610	−0.55	9–5	2,209.50
4	Nolan	Skol Gophers	9–5	93–61	.604	+0.55	9–5	2,162.13
5	Jake	Giebler's Elfs	8–6	84–70	.545	+0.36	8–6	2,190.89
6	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	7–7	81–73	.526	−0.36	7–7	2,142.60
7	Alex	Schamerz	6–8	80–74	.519	−1.27	7–7	2,122.35
8	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	7–7	75–79	.487	+0.18	7–7	2,057.39
9	Evan	The Greenweenies	8–6	72–82	.468	+1.45	6–8	2,110.67
10	Dylan	Civil Allegations	4–10	63–91	.409	−1.73	5–9	2,010.52
11	Kent	Florence’s Moledozers	5–9	50–104	.325	+0.45	3–11	1,922.59
12	Gavin	—	4–10	38–116	.247	+0.55	4–10	1,765.11

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2022 · Sleeper

All-play standings, 2022
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	14–0	121–33	.786	+3.00	12–2	2,430.14
2	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	8–6	103–51	.669	−1.36	11–3	2,233.49
3	Nolan	Skol Gophers	9–5	99–55	.643	0.00	9–5	2,314.82
4	Jake	—	9–5	96–58	.623	+0.27	10–4	2,158.70
5	Alex	Schamerz	8–6	86–68	.558	+0.18	8–6	2,199.04
6	Evan	The Greenweenies	7–7	85–69	.552	−0.73	9–5	2,100.79
7	Ben	The Replacements	6–8	79–75	.513	−1.18	7–7	2,081.95
8	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	5–9	69–85	.448	−1.27	6–8	2,004.76
9	Dylan	Civil Allegations	9–5	62–92	.403	+3.36	5–9	1,992.48
10	Kris	—	5–9	60–94	.390	−0.45	6–8	1,911.59
11	Kent	Florence’s Moledozers	1–13	37–117	.240	−2.36	1–13	1,828.86
12	Bo	FoolsBall	3–11	27–127	.175	+0.55	0–14	1,680.13

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2021 · Sleeper

All-play standings, 2021
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Nolan	Skol Gophers	10–4	119–35	.773	−0.82	13–1	2,432.31
2	Evan	The Greenweenies	11–3	94–60	.610	+2.45	9–5	2,241.13
3	Alex	Schamerz	8–6	92–62	.597	−0.36	9–5	2,274.55
4	Ben	The Replacements	8–6	89–65	.578	−0.09	7–7	2,154.97
5	Kent	Florence’s Moledozers	7–7	88–66	.571	−1.00	9–5	2,196.16
6	Kris	—	9–5	82–72	.532	+1.55	8–6	2,186.53
7	Dylan	Bateman JJ and Waddle LLC	8–6	76–78	.494	+1.09	8–6	2,127.22
8	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	8–6	76–78	.494	+1.09	6–8	2,120.95
9	Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	3–11	57–97	.370	−2.18	5–9	2,015.38
10	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	4–10	54–100	.351	−0.91	3–11	1,905.08
11	Jake	—	5–9	50–104	.325	+0.45	4–10	1,923.43
12	Bo	—	3–11	47–107	.305	−1.27	3–11	1,897.94

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2020 · MFL

All-play standings, 2020
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	10–3	98–45	.685	+1.09	10–3	1,684.70
2	Evan	—	9–4	98–45	.685	+0.09	11–2	1,645.40
3	Alex	Schamzy	10–3	91–52	.636	+1.73	9–4	1,601.50
4	Dylan	—	5–8	78–65	.545	−2.09	8–5	1,579.60
5	Jake	I'm Sorry Mr. Jackson	11–2	78–65	.545	+3.91	7–6	1,520.50
6	Ben	The Replacements	5–8	71–72	.497	−1.45	7–6	1,523.20
7	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	5–8	69–74	.483	−1.27	5–8	1,464.20
8	Noah	Bugada Bugada Bugada	5–8	63–80	.441	−0.73	6–7	1,408.60
9	Nolan	—	7–6	62–81	.434	+1.36	3–10	1,409.30
10	Bo	Bo-Bob	3–10	56–87	.392	−2.09	3–10	1,391.00
11	Kris	—	3–10	48–95	.336	−1.36	5–8	1,324.00
12	Kent	—	5–8	46–97	.322	+0.82	4–9	1,323.20

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2019 · MFL

All-play standings, 2019
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Jake	—	7–6	104–39	.727	−2.45	9–4	1,755.90
2	Dylan	—	8–5	90–53	.629	−0.18	10–3	1,656.40
3	Ben	—	9–4	89–54	.622	+0.91	8–5	1,604.70
4	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	8–5	88–55	.615	0.00	10–3	1,630.10
5	Evan	—	7–6	84–59	.587	−0.64	8–5	1,538.50
6	Alex	Schamerz	6–7	81–62	.566	−1.36	8–5	1,549.30
7	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	7–6	72–71	.503	+0.45	6–7	1,476.10
8	Kevin	—	6–7	65–78	.455	+0.09	5–8	1,437.10
9	Nolan	—	8–5	58–85	.406	+2.73	5–8	1,401.70
10	Noah	The Future is Now	6–7	57–86	.399	+0.82	5–8	1,383.50
11	Kent	—	4–9	48–95	.336	−0.36	4–9	1,295.10
12	Kris	—	2–11	22–121	.154	0.00	0–13	1,126.60

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2018 · MFL

All-play standings, 2018
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Alex	Schamerz	11–2	104–38–1	.731	+1.50	10–3	1,850.10
2	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	8–5	97–46	.678	−0.82	10–3	1,714.20
3	Ben	—	10–3	95–48	.664	+1.36	10–3	1,801.50
4	Nolan	—	7–6	87–56	.608	−0.91	10–3	1,618.50
5	Noah	The Future is Now	5–8	79–63–1	.556	−2.23	7–6	1,611.10
6	Dylan	—	6–7	76–67	.531	−0.91	7–6	1,577.00
7	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	7–6	72–71	.503	+0.45	6–7	1,539.80
8	Kent	—	3–10	67–76	.469	−3.09	7–6	1,504.30
9	Jake	—	9–4	63–80	.441	+3.27	5–8	1,481.70
10	Kris	—	5–8	60–83	.420	−0.45	4–9	1,472.70
11	Evan	—	6–7	33–110	.231	+3.00	1–12	1,311.20
12	Kevin	—	1–12	24–119	.168	−1.18	1–12	1,170.90

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2017 · MFL

All-play standings, 2017
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Noah	The Future is Now	9–4	113–30	.790	−1.27	11–2	1,733.00
2	Ben	—	11–2	94–49	.657	+2.45	10–3	1,588.00
3	Alex	Schamerz	7–6	86–56–1	.605	−0.86	7–6	1,533.00
4	Evan	—	10–3	82–61	.573	+2.55	9–4	1,485.00
5	Dylan	—	6–7	71–72	.497	−0.45	6–7	1,512.00
6	Kris	—	6–7	69–74	.483	−0.27	6–7	1,422.00
7	Kent	—	5–8	67–75–1	.472	−1.14	6–7	1,424.00
8	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	6–7	66–76–1	.465	−0.05	6–7	1,415.00
9	Jake	—	4–9	63–80	.441	−1.73	5–8	1,397.00
10	Nolan	—	4–9	62–81	.434	−1.64	6–7	1,337.00
11	Kevin	—	6–7	51–91–1	.360	+1.32	4–9	1,318.00
12	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	4–9	32–111	.224	+1.09	2–11	1,162.00

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2016 · MFL

All-play standings, 2016
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Ben	—	10–3	109–33–1	.766	+0.05	11–2	1,880.00
2	Kris	—	9–4	94–46–3	.668	+0.32	11–2	1,750.00
3	Kent	—	8–5	92–50–1	.647	−0.41	7–6	1,714.00
4	Noah	The Future is Now	5–8	88–55	.615	−3.00	7–6	1,731.00
5	Alex	Dirty Landry	9–4	83–60	.580	+1.45	9–4	1,656.00
6	Kevin	—	5–8	70–73	.490	−1.36	7–6	1,540.00
7	Nolan	—	6–7	63–77–3	.451	+0.14	5–8	1,507.00
8	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	7–6	62–78–3	.444	+1.23	6–7	1,489.00
9	Evan	—	6–7	58–85	.406	+0.73	5–8	1,491.00
10	Kyle	Steiners Stallions	4–9	47–95–1	.332	−0.32	3–10	1,394.00
11	Jake	—	4–9	45–97–1	.318	−0.14	5–8	1,370.00
12	Dylan	—	5–8	39–101–3	.283	+1.32	2–11	1,298.00

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2026 so far

All-play standings, 2026 so far
Rank	Owner	Team	W–L	All-play W–L	All-play pct	Luck	Median W–L	PF
1	Kent	Baby Back Gibbs	2–1	30–3	.909	−0.73	3–0	540.39
2	Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	3–0	27–6	.818	+0.55	3–0	566.90
3	Alex	Schamerz	2–1	24–9	.727	−0.18	2–1	485.86
4	Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	2–1	22–11	.667	0.00	2–1	462.70
5	Kyle	Steiner’s Stallions	3–0	21–12	.636	+1.09	3–0	451.68
6	Bo	FoolsBall	2–1	19–14	.576	+0.27	2–1	446.69
7	Gavin	—	0–3	17–16	.515	−1.55	1–2	438.16
8	Evan	The Greenweenies	2–1	15–18	.455	+0.64	1–2	430.56
9	Nolan	Skol Gophers	2–1	11–22	.333	+1.00	1–2	390.65
10	Ben	Notorious CTE	0–3	6–27	.182	−0.55	0–3	358.85
11	Sirac	—	0–3	4–29	.121	−0.36	0–3	351.29
12	Jake	Giebler's Elfs	0–3	2–31	.061	−0.18	0–3	316.10

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Not in the career totals above.

Weekly finish

Each week's scores ranked 1 to 12. A bad beat is a top-three score that lost; a cheap win is a score ranked 10th or worse that won.

Fig. 3. Weeks at each weekly rank, owners sorted by crowns.

Weeks each owner's score ranked 1st to 12th
Owner	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Alex	22 weeks 1st	12 weeks 2nd	5 weeks 3rd	16 weeks 4th	15 weeks 5th	12 weeks 6th	12 weeks 7th	13 weeks 8th	12 weeks 9th	6 weeks 10th	6 weeks 11th	4 weeks 12th
Noah	18 weeks 1st	15 weeks 2nd	15 weeks 3rd	14 weeks 4th	15 weeks 5th	7 weeks 6th	10 weeks 7th	12 weeks 8th	5 weeks 9th	9 weeks 10th	6 weeks 11th	9 weeks 12th
Ben	16 weeks 1st	13 weeks 2nd	13 weeks 3rd	12 weeks 4th	14 weeks 5th	13 weeks 6th	12 weeks 7th	12 weeks 8th	10 weeks 9th	6 weeks 10th	8 weeks 11th	6 weeks 12th
Kyle	15 weeks 1st	14 weeks 2nd	12 weeks 3rd	13 weeks 4th	8 weeks 5th	11 weeks 6th	7 weeks 7th	9 weeks 8th	12 weeks 9th	8 weeks 10th	15 weeks 11th	11 weeks 12th
Nolan	13 weeks 1st	9 weeks 2nd	18 weeks 3rd	16 weeks 4th	11 weeks 5th	9 weeks 6th	14 weeks 7th	12 weeks 8th	8 weeks 9th	4 weeks 10th	15 weeks 11th	6 weeks 12th
Dylan	9 weeks 1st	9 weeks 2nd	6 weeks 3rd	10 weeks 4th	14 weeks 5th	8 weeks 6th	4 weeks 7th	9 weeks 8th	16 weeks 9th	14 weeks 10th	13 weeks 11th	9 weeks 12th
Ryan	9 weeks 1st	8 weeks 2nd	8 weeks 3rd	12 weeks 4th	8 weeks 5th	9 weeks 6th	16 weeks 7th	13 weeks 8th	14 weeks 9th	13 weeks 10th	12 weeks 11th	13 weeks 12th
Kent	7 weeks 1st	10 weeks 2nd	7 weeks 3rd	6 weeks 4th	10 weeks 5th	13 weeks 6th	17 weeks 7th	9 weeks 8th	12 weeks 9th	16 weeks 10th	17 weeks 11th	11 weeks 12th
Evan	7 weeks 1st	13 weeks 2nd	14 weeks 3rd	16 weeks 4th	13 weeks 5th	12 weeks 6th	8 weeks 7th	10 weeks 8th	16 weeks 9th	7 weeks 10th	7 weeks 11th	12 weeks 12th
Jake	6 weeks 1st	15 weeks 2nd	17 weeks 3rd	5 weeks 4th	9 weeks 5th	13 weeks 6th	10 weeks 7th	11 weeks 8th	9 weeks 9th	13 weeks 10th	14 weeks 11th	13 weeks 12th
Bo	5 weeks 1st	5 weeks 2nd	8 weeks 3rd	3 weeks 4th	3 weeks 5th	7 weeks 6th	11 weeks 7th	8 weeks 8th	5 weeks 9th	12 weeks 10th	7 weeks 11th	9 weeks 12th
Kevin	3 weeks 1st	1 week 2nd	2 weeks 3rd	2 weeks 4th	4 weeks 5th	5 weeks 6th	5 weeks 7th	3 weeks 8th	6 weeks 9th	8 weeks 10th	5 weeks 11th	8 weeks 12th
Kris	3 weeks 1st	5 weeks 2nd	7 weeks 3rd	6 weeks 4th	10 weeks 5th	9 weeks 6th	9 weeks 7th	7 weeks 8th	6 weeks 9th	11 weeks 10th	7 weeks 11th	13 weeks 12th
Sirac	2 weeks 1st	2 weeks 2nd	2 weeks 3rd	0 weeks 4th	1 week 5th	2 weeks 6th	0 weeks 7th	1 week 8th	0 weeks 9th	0 weeks 10th	2 weeks 11th	2 weeks 12th
Gavin	0 weeks 1st	4 weeks 2nd	2 weeks 3rd	3 weeks 4th	2 weeks 5th	3 weeks 6th	4 weeks 7th	3 weeks 8th	5 weeks 9th	6 weeks 10th	2 weeks 11th	8 weeks 12th

Rows are sorted by crowns.

Crowns and spoons

Crowns, spoons, cheap wins and bad beats by owner
Owner	Seasons	Weeks	Crowns	Spoons	Cheap wins	Bad beats	Most crowns in a season
Alex	2016–2025	135	22	4	1	3	4 (2018)
Noah	2016–2025	135	18	9	1	5	4 (2022)
Ben	2016–2025	135	16	6	2	5	5 (2016)
Kyle	2016–2025	135	15	12	1	4	4 (2020)
Nolan	2016–2025	135	13	6	3	7	4 (2024)
Dylan	2016–2024	121	9	9	4	2	3 (2018)
Ryan	2016–2025	135	9	13	4	1	2 (2022)
Kent	2016–2025	135	7	11	2	0	3 (2016)
Evan	2016–2025	135	7	12	3	5	2 (2017)
Jake	2016–2025	135	6	14	5	8	2 (2022)
Bo	2020–2025	83	5	9	2	3	2 (2023)
Kevin	2016–2019	52	3	8	2	1	1 (2016)
Kris	2016–2022	93	3	13	1	0	1 (2016)
Sirac	2025	14	2	2	0	1	2 (2025)
Gavin	2023–2025	42	0	8	0	0	—

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Bad beats · the highest scores that lost

The eight highest scores that lost
Season	Wk	Owner	Opponent	Score	Opp. score	Week rank
2021	13	Dylan	Kris	200.91	212.45	2nd
2023	14	Bo	Evan	197.04	201.07	2nd
2021	5	Nolan	Jake	190.85	199.98	3rd
2024	14	Ben	Evan	190.12	218.88	3rd
2025	7	Alex	Kent	188.26	196.92	2nd
2021	2	Nolan	Alex	183.62	190.90	2nd
2023	12	Ben	Bo	181.78	184.69	2nd
2024	12	Alex	Nolan	180.90	185.45	2nd

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Cheap wins · the lowest scores that won

The eight lowest scores that won
Season	Wk	Owner	Opponent	Score	Opp. score	Week rank
2020	13	Kent	Noah	74.90	74.60	11th
2019	11	Kris	Kent	80.70	79.40	11th
2017	5	Kevin	Kyle	81.00	80.00	11th
2019	12	Kyle	Noah	81.40	63.40	11th
2020	8	Jake	Ryan	85.90	78.80	10th
2019	9	Nolan	Kris	91.00	66.60	11th
2018	13	Evan	Kevin	92.70	92.30	10th
2016	6	Nolan	Kevin	93.00	74.00	10th

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2026 so far

Crowns: Alex 1, Kent 1, Noah 1
Spoons: Jake 2, Sirac 1
Bad beats: Kent week 3 (162.71, 3rd)
Cheap wins: Nolan week 3 (102.25, 11th)

Power

Elo ratings that carry across the platform change. Pick an owner to trace their line.

Favorites win
61.1%
496 games with a gap of 50 or more
Top rating, end 2025
1,576.1
Noah
Highest peak
1,667.6
Ben · 2017, week 15
Lowest point
1,343.7
Bo · 2021, week 12

Emphasize

Noah
everyone else

Fig. 4. Dynasty Elo after every rated week, Noah against the field.

Dynasty Elo at the close of each season, by owner
Series	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025
Kent	1,609.0	1,487.2	1,428.2	1,404.6	1,437.2	1,494.4	1,358.1	1,412.9	1,409.8	1,545.1
Kris	1,530.1	1,485.3	1,458.5	1,367.7	1,365.6	1,495.9	1,451.8	—	—	—
Gavin	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1,428.9	1,382.4	1,449.6
Noah	1,465.3	1,570.5	1,462.1	1,470.7	1,449.1	1,372.3	1,613.4	1,619.3	1,646.6	1,576.1
Alex	1,552.6	1,530.6	1,603.7	1,500.3	1,639.4	1,588.6	1,604.7	1,521.0	1,435.5	1,482.1
Jake	1,423.7	1,411.0	1,594.4	1,619.7	1,617.9	1,481.0	1,522.3	1,544.1	1,499.4	1,457.5
Ben	1,594.7	1,652.7	1,603.9	1,597.2	1,529.9	1,524.3	1,482.1	1,497.4	1,438.6	1,517.7
Dylan	1,469.9	1,477.5	1,497.1	1,549.5	1,471.3	1,503.6	1,532.1	1,455.5	1,469.0	—
Sirac	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1,515.7
Evan	1,476.3	1,590.7	1,501.4	1,493.8	1,565.8	1,638.6	1,544.9	1,534.6	1,621.1	1,474.1
Ryan	1,501.6	1,481.0	1,474.7	1,497.6	1,483.5	1,405.7	1,415.0	1,463.8	1,464.3	1,497.0
Kyle	1,440.2	1,407.4	1,548.5	1,546.6	1,593.3	1,546.4	1,547.8	1,487.8	1,510.8	1,483.4
Nolan	1,469.1	1,404.4	1,476.4	1,509.0	1,479.7	1,591.8	1,587.0	1,563.8	1,626.5	1,485.2
Kevin	1,467.5	1,501.7	1,351.0	1,443.3	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bo	—	—	—	—	1,405.0	1,382.4	1,357.6	1,514.2	1,524.9	1,556.6

Leaderboard

Elo leaderboard after 2025
Rank	Owner	Rating, end 2025	Peak	Peak week	Low	Low week	Rated games	Upsets W–L	Status
1	Noah	1,576.1	1,663.6	2024, week 16	1,372.3	2021, week 14	149	7–24	Champion
2	Bo	1,556.6	1,584.9	2024, week 8	1,343.7	2021, week 12	90	11–5	Active
3	Kent	1,545.1	1,609.0	2016, week 16	1,356.8	2023, week 10	144	24–9	Active
4	Ben	1,517.7	1,667.6	2017, week 15	1,385.3	2024, week 8	151	14–20	Active
5	Sirac	1,515.7	1,545.7	2025, week 10	1,467.3	2025, week 2	14	1–2	Active
6	Ryan	1,497.0	1,541.6	2018, week 6	1,378.3	2022, week 6	139	20–13	Active
7	Nolan	1,485.2	1,626.5	2024, week 17	1,404.4	2017, week 13	148	14–21	Active
8	Kyle	1,483.4	1,612.3	2020, week 13	1,389.9	2017, week 12	147	16–21	Active
9	Alex	1,482.1	1,639.4	2020, week 16	1,435.5	2024, week 15	154	8–25	Active
10	Evan	1,474.1	1,650.3	2021, week 12	1,474.0	2025, week 12	144	11–23	Active
11	Dylan	1,469.0	1,554.5	2022, week 12	1,401.7	2016, week 6	128	18–6	Through 2024
12	Jake	1,457.5	1,649.1	2020, week 13	1,403.1	2016, week 12	145	15–17	Active
13	Kris	1,451.8	1,575.5	2016, week 5	1,356.7	2020, week 5	95	12–5	Through 2022
14	Gavin	1,449.6	1,494.1	2025, week 11	1,368.4	2024, week 12	42	9–0	Active
15	Kevin	1,443.3	1,501.7	2017, week 13	1,351.0	2018, week 13	52	13–2	Through 2019

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Former owners keep the rating they left with. An upset is a win by an owner rated 50 or more points lower.

Biggest upsets

Ten largest upsets by rating gap
Season	Wk	Game	Winner	Rating	Loser	Rating	Score	Gap	Win chance
2021	13	Regular	Bo	1,343.7	Evan	1,650.3	184.77–165.05	306.7	.146
2019	12	Regular	Kevin	1,405.6	Ben	1,632.8	97.70–92.40	227.2	.213
2016	13	Regular	Jake	1,403.1	Ben	1,617.3	132.00–120.00	214.2	.226
2022	8	Regular	Ryan	1,402.2	Alex	1,598.4	175.78–164.42	196.2	.244
2020	6	Regular	Kris	1,356.7	Ben	1,538.6	116.60–76.50	181.9	.260
2017	9	Regular	Jake	1,408.4	Noah	1,590.1	173.00–144.00	181.7	.260
2025	2	Regular	Gavin	1,413.5	Evan	1,593.3	143.12–125.07	179.8	.262
2023	14	Regular	Ryan	1,439.8	Noah	1,614.9	153.59–121.08	175.1	.267
2021	4	Regular	Kris	1,409.3	Jake	1,582.4	190.59–108.89	173.1	.270
2023	5	Regular	Bo	1,421.2	Noah	1,593.3	147.70–137.47	172.1	.271

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2026 so far

Elo movement, 2026 so far
Owner	Team	Start of season	Now	Change
Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	1,550.7	1,593.4	+42.7
Kent	Baby Back Gibbs	1,530.1	1,548.9	+18.8
Bo	FoolsBall	1,537.7	1,547.1	+9.4
Kyle	Steiner’s Stallions	1,488.9	1,534.2	+45.3
Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	1,498.0	1,513.7	+15.7
Alex	Schamerz	1,488.1	1,507.8	+19.7
Evan	The Greenweenies	1,482.7	1,495.6	+12.9
Nolan	Skol Gophers	1,490.1	1,492.1	+2.0
Sirac	—	1,510.5	1,472.8	−37.7
Ben	Notorious CTE	1,511.8	1,459.6	−52.2
Gavin	—	1,466.4	1,433.1	−33.3
Jake	Giebler's Elfs	1,471.7	1,428.2	−43.5

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1 upset: Ryan over Kent in week 3 (gap 66.0). Not in the timeline above.

Scoring environment

MFL scored in whole points through 2017 and Sleeper scoring averages higher, so compare within a season.

Fig. 5. Mean score per team-game by season. The rule marks the move to Sleeper.

Mean score per team-game by season
Season	points per team-game
2016	120.64
2017	111.06
2018	119.57
2019	114.46
2020	114.58
2021	151.64
2022	148.43
2023	149.93
2024	150.09
2025	146.05
2026 (so far)	145.55

Scoring by season
Season	Platform and scoring	Weeks	Mean	SD	Median	High	Low
2016	MFL, whole-point scoring	13	120.64	25.78	123.00	209.00	33.00
2017	MFL, whole-point scoring	13	111.06	25.54	110.00	180.00	54.00
2018	MFL, decimal scoring	13	119.57	26.65	117.10	202.40	53.50
2019	MFL, decimal scoring	13	114.46	27.16	114.90	182.00	54.80
2020	MFL, decimal scoring	13	114.58	24.46	114.15	208.20	51.70

2021	Sleeper	14	151.64	27.97	151.20	212.45	87.33
2022	Sleeper	14	148.43	28.96	145.56	228.00	70.00
2023	Sleeper	14	149.93	27.41	150.51	213.89	84.56
2024	Sleeper	14	150.09	24.90	148.12	220.22	71.91
2025	Sleeper	14	146.05	24.59	145.31	230.25	88.73
2026 (so far)	Sleeper	3	145.55	30.10	146.11	253.72	98.05

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2026 is not in any all-time figure.

Margins of victory

Fig. 6. Regular-season margins of victory: 810 games, median 25.50, mean 30.11. 10% were decided by five points or fewer.

Games by margin of victory
Margin of victory	games
0–5	81
5–10	102
10–20	147
20–30	135
30–40	109
40–50	81
50–75	117
75–100	34
100+	4

Margins of victory by era
Margin	MFL, whole-point scoring	MFL, decimal scoring	Sleeper	All games	Share
0–5	16	24	41	81	10.0%
5–10	21	25	56	102	12.6%
10–20	29	53	65	147	18.1%
20–30	29	36	70	135	16.7%
30–40	24	26	59	109	13.5%
40–50	16	22	43	81	10.0%
50–75	11	43	63	117	14.4%
75–100	9	3	22	34	4.2%
100+	1	2	1	4	0.5%

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MFL, whole-point scoring: median 24.00, mean 28.94 over 156 games. MFL, decimal scoring: median 25.40, mean 29.45 over 234 games. Sleeper: median 26.72, mean 30.91 over 420 games.

Week of the season

Scoring index by NFL week; 100 is the season average
NFL week	Index	Seasons	Lowest season	Highest season	Note
1	99.5	10	88.2	107.6
2	102.2	10	93.4	109.9
3	102.3	10	92.8	113.3
4	101.0	10	95.5	107.9
5	102.7	10	95.1	112.2	Highest-scoring week
6	99.7	10	93.2	109.1
7	97.8	10	90.3	105.8
8	100.4	10	93.1	108.8
9	98.5	10	93.9	104.4
10	98.2	10	85.3	108.3
11	98.4	10	90.6	103.1
12	102.5	10	95.1	108.0
13	97.3	10	90.4	103.2	Lowest-scoring week
14	99.2	5	93.0	107.7

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Era-adjusted scoring and consistency

Each weekly score becomes a z-scoreagainst that week’s league, so 2016 and 2025 sit on one scale. The average is how good, the spread how steady.

Career scoring, raw and era-adjusted
Rank	Owner	Seasons	Games	PPG, raw	Z avg	Z spread	Z floor	Z ceiling
1	Noah	10	135	141.97	+0.34	1.04	−0.53	+2.86
2	Alex	10	135	141.89	+0.31	0.94	−0.48	+2.69
3	Ben	10	135	139.52	+0.22	0.97	−0.52	+2.47
—	Sirac	1	14	147.60	+0.16	1.24	−1.36	+2.76
4	Nolan	10	135	136.53	+0.15	1.01	−0.71	+2.61
5	Kyle	10	135	134.71	+0.08	1.05	−0.91	+2.29
6	Evan	10	135	133.83	+0.01	0.96	−0.75	+1.92
7	Dylan	9	121	130.40	−0.06	0.99	−0.98	+2.45
8	Jake	10	135	131.51	−0.07	0.99	−0.96	+2.00
9	Ryan	10	135	128.39	−0.18	0.92	−0.86	+2.07
10	Kent	10	135	128.19	−0.21	0.93	−1.03	+2.13
11	Kris	7	93	120.36	−0.24	0.92	−1.10	+1.87
12	Bo	6	83	136.70	−0.27	0.96	−1.13	+1.77
13	Gavin	3	42	138.05	−0.38	0.89	−1.18	+1.31
14	Kevin	4	52	105.12	−0.41	0.94	−1.27	+1.92

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Ranking needs two seasons; Sirac listed unranked. A z average of +0.50 is half a standard deviation above the league in a typical week.

Steadiest and most volatile seasons

Five steadiest and five most volatile seasons
Profile	Owner	Season	PPG	SD	CV	Floor	Ceiling
Steadiest	Alex	2024	153.45	15.60	0.102	140.30	185.35
Steadiest	Jake	2024	147.26	15.34	0.104	137.98	177.07
Steadiest	Nolan	2021	173.74	18.44	0.106	144.32	194.43
Steadiest	Alex	2016	127.38	14.06	0.110	115.00	150.00
Steadiest	Noah	2016	133.15	15.07	0.113	117.00	165.00
Most volatile	Jake	2017	107.46	34.52	0.321	76.00	173.00
Most volatile	Ben	2020	117.17	35.06	0.299	84.80	208.20
Most volatile	Noah	2020	108.35	29.49	0.272	74.60	152.70
Most volatile	Nolan	2017	102.85	26.87	0.261	77.00	151.00
Most volatile	Dylan	2016	99.85	25.90	0.259	81.00	128.00

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Closers, faders and the mid-season swing

Regular seasons split at week 7: who finishes strong, and how far the standings move from there.

weeks 1–7
week 8 on
unranked (one season)

Fig. 7. Win percentage in weeks 1–7 (open) against week 8 on (filled), sorted by change. Owners with under 20 games in either half are faint and unranked.

Win percentage in weeks 1–7 and from week 8 on, by owner, sorted by the change
Owner	win pct, weeks 1–7	win pct, week 8 on
Nolan (30–40 early, 43–22 late)	.429	.662
Kevin (7–21 early, 11–13 late)	.250	.458
Dylan (25–38 early, 33–25 late)	.397	.569
Kent (24–46 early, 28–37 late)	.343	.431
Jake (33–37 early, 35–30 late)	.471	.538
Gavin (7–14 early, 7–14 late)	.333	.333
Kris (21–28 early, 18–26 late)	.429	.409
Alex (41–29 early, 36–29 late)	.586	.554
Kyle (38–32 early, 33–32 late)	.543	.508
Ben (43–27 early, 37–28 late)	.614	.569
Ryan (35–35 early, 27–38 late)	.500	.415
Noah (43–27 early, 31–34 late)	.614	.477
Bo (22–20 early, 15–26 late)	.524	.366
Evan (48–22 early, 32–33 late)	.686	.492
Sirac (3–4 early, 4–3 late, one season, unranked)	.429	.571

Where the champion stood after week 7

45 of 60 teams in the top six after week 7 reached the bracket (.750); 3 of 10 champions were outside it.

Each champion after week 7
Season	Champion	Rank after week 7	W–L after week 7	Seed	Note
2016	Kent	7th	3–4	No. 5	Outside the top six
2017	Evan	1st	7–0	No. 2
2018	Jake	8th	3–4	No. 4	Outside the top six
2019	Jake	4th	4–3	No. 5
2020	Alex	4th	4–3	No. 3

2021	Evan	1st	6–1	No. 1
2022	Alex	2nd	5–2	No. 6
2023	Noah	1st	5–2	No. 1
2024	Nolan	7th	3–4	No. 3	Outside the top six
2025	Noah	6th	3–4	No. 6

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Biggest climbs and collapses

Five biggest climbs and collapses since week 7
Swing	Owner	Season	Rank after week 7	W–L after week 7	Final position	Places	Result
Climb	Nolan	2022	9th	2–5	No. 2 seed	+7	Finished 4th
Climb	Kris	2021	9th	3–4	No. 3 seed	+6	Finished 5th
Climb	Nolan	2023	9th	3–4	No. 3 seed	+6	Finished 3rd
Climb	Ryan	2025	10th	3–4	No. 4 seed	+6	Finished 6th
Climb	Dylan	2017	8th	2–5	No. 3 seed	+5	Finished 4th
Collapse	Kyle	2021	2nd	5–2	7th in the standings	−6	Missed the playoffs
Collapse	Evan	2019	2nd	5–2	6th in the standings	−5	Missed the playoffs
Collapse	Evan	2016	4th	5–2	7th in the standings	−4	Missed the playoffs
Collapse	Jake	2016	8th	3–4	12th in the standings	−4	Missed the playoffs
Collapse	Nolan	2017	7th	3–4	11th in the standings	−4	Missed the playoffs

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Places gained (+) or lost (−) from week 7 to the final position.

Seeds and the playoffs

What a seed is worth, whether the Points King converts, and who plays up or down in the bracket.

Fig. 8. Seed against final placement over 10 brackets. The No. 1 seed reached 8 finals and won 2.

How often each bracket seed finished in each place
Seed	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th
No. 1 seed	2 times	6 times	1 time	1 time	0 times	0 times	0 times
No. 2 seed	1 time	2 times	4 times	2 times	1 time	0 times	0 times
No. 3 seed	2 times	1 time	1 time	3 times	3 times	0 times	0 times
No. 4 seed	1 time	1 time	2 times	2 times	2 times	2 times	0 times
No. 5 seed	2 times	0 times	1 time	1 time	2 times	4 times	0 times
No. 6 seed	2 times	0 times	0 times	1 time	2 times	4 times	1 time
No. 7 seed	0 times	0 times	1 time	0 times	0 times	0 times	0 times

A seventh seed existed only in the 2020 bracket.

Titles, finals and average finish by seed
Seed	Brackets	Titles	Finals	Avg finish	Title share
No. 1	10	2	8	2.1	.200
No. 2	10	1	3	3.0	.100
No. 3	10	2	3	3.4	.200
No. 4	10	1	2	3.9	.100
No. 5	10	2	2	4.3	.200
No. 6	10	2	2	4.7	.200
No. 7	1	0	0	3.0	.000

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The Points King

The regular season’s top scorer won the title 2 times in 10, lost the final 5 times and missed it 3.

Points King by season
Season	Points King	PF	W–L	Seed	Outcome	Champion
2016	Ben	1,880.00	10–3	No. 1	Lost the final	Kent
2017	Noah	1,733.00	9–4	No. 4	Missed the final	Evan
2018	Alex	1,850.10	11–2	No. 1	Missed the final	Jake
2019	Jake	1,755.90	7–6	No. 5	Won the title	Jake
2020	Kyle	1,684.70	10–3	No. 2	Missed the final	Alex

2021	Nolan	2,432.31	10–4	No. 2	Lost the final	Evan
2022	Noah	2,430.14	14–0	No. 1	Lost the final	Alex
2023	Noah	2,288.93	9–5	No. 1	Won the title	Noah
2024	Noah	2,412.40	12–2	No. 1	Lost the final	Nolan
2025	Kent	2,232.38	10–4	No. 1	Lost the final	Noah

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Playoff record against the regular season

Playoff record against regular season by owner, sorted by the gap
Owner	Trips	Playoff W–L	Playoff PPG	Z avg	Reg. pct	Playoff pct	Gap	Best streak	Worst drought	Now
Evan	4 of 10	7–2	146.92	+0.40	.593	.778	+.185	2	2	Drought of 1
Kent	4 of 10	5–4	133.15	0.00	.385	.556	+.170	2	3	Streak of 1
Jake	5 of 10	6–4	133.01	+0.36	.504	.600	+.096	3	2	Drought of 2
Noah	7 of 10	9–5	158.84	+0.53	.548	.643	+.095	4	3	Streak of 4
Alex	9 of 10	11–8	141.67	+0.16	.570	.579	+.009	7	1	Streak of 2
Bo	3 of 6	3–4	156.40	−0.32	.446	.429	−.017	3	3	Streak of 3
Nolan	7 of 10	6–7	151.87	−0.01	.541	.462	−.079	7	2	Drought of 1
Kyle	6 of 10	5–7	133.99	−0.04	.526	.417	−.109	3	2	Drought of 1
Dylan	4 of 9	2–5	110.60	−0.70	.479	.286	−.194	2	2	Former owner
Ryan	2 of 10	1–3	117.37	−0.55	.459	.250	−.209	1	8	Streak of 1
Ben	8 of 10	6–10	128.10	−0.37	.593	.375	−.218	6	1	Streak of 1
Kris	2 of 7	0–2	94.89	−0.83	.419	.000	−.419	1	4	Former owner
Gavin	0 of 3	0–0	—	—	.333	—	—	0	3	Drought of 3
Kevin	0 of 4	0–0	—	—	.346	—	—	0	4	Former owner
Sirac	0 of 1	0–0	—	—	.500	—	—	0	1	Drought of 1

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Ranking needs three playoff games. Listed last, unranked: Kris (2 playoff games), Gavin (0 playoff games), Kevin (0 playoff games), Sirac (0 playoff games).

Lineup efficiency

League efficiency
88.7%
2016–2025 regular seasons
Perfect weeks
132
of 1,620 lineups
Regret losses
287
losses the best lineup would have won
Finals lost on the bench
5
Ben 2016 · Ben 2017 · Nolan 2021 · Noah 2022 · Kent 2025

Fig. 9. Lineup efficiency by season and owner.

Lineup efficiency by season and owner
Season	KNT	KRS	GAV	NOA	ALX	JAK	BEN	DYL	SRC	EVN	RYN	KYL	NLN	KEV	BO
2016	91.3% · 163.00 left on the bench	84.2% · 329.00 left on the bench	not in the league	89.7% · 198.00 left on the bench	84.7% · 300.00 left on the bench	80.4% · 333.00 left on the bench	88.8% · 238.00 left on the bench	86.8% · 197.00 left on the bench	not in the league	86.9% · 225.00 left on the bench	80.8% · 354.00 left on the bench	86.9% · 211.00 left on the bench	87.7% · 211.00 left on the bench	84.7% · 278.00 left on the bench	not in the league
2017	88.1% · 193.00 left on the bench	84.3% · 264.00 left on the bench	not in the league	88.1% · 235.00 left on the bench	84.8% · 274.00 left on the bench	79.2% · 366.00 left on the bench	85.3% · 274.00 left on the bench	87.3% · 220.00 left on the bench	not in the league	86.3% · 236.00 left on the bench	84.8% · 253.00 left on the bench	81.0% · 272.00 left on the bench	86.7% · 205.00 left on the bench	90.0% · 147.00 left on the bench	not in the league
2018	88.1% · 203.50 left on the bench	88.0% · 201.10 left on the bench	not in the league	89.3% · 193.50 left on the bench	93.9% · 119.40 left on the bench	85.0% · 260.60 left on the bench	92.8% · 139.20 left on the bench	89.4% · 186.10 left on the bench	not in the league	85.9% · 214.60 left on the bench	84.5% · 282.60 left on the bench	91.2% · 165.30 left on the bench	91.2% · 156.40 left on the bench	86.7% · 179.90 left on the bench	not in the league
2019	87.9% · 178.00 left on the bench	84.4% · 208.50 left on the bench	not in the league	82.4% · 295.90 left on the bench	85.3% · 266.30 left on the bench	87.7% · 246.50 left on the bench	87.4% · 231.70 left on the bench	93.6% · 113.40 left on the bench	not in the league	87.5% · 219.30 left on the bench	88.5% · 192.70 left on the bench	93.8% · 107.90 left on the bench	90.5% · 147.50 left on the bench	89.6% · 167.70 left on the bench	not in the league
2020	83.7% · 258.10 left on the bench	86.3% · 210.50 left on the bench	not in the league	89.4% · 166.20 left on the bench	89.4% · 189.20 left on the bench	89.5% · 177.90 left on the bench	87.9% · 210.40 left on the bench	89.6% · 182.70 left on the bench	not in the league	92.7% · 129.40 left on the bench	85.6% · 246.50 left on the bench	94.1% · 106.00 left on the bench	93.3% · 101.30 left on the bench	not in the league	86.5% · 217.70 left on the bench
2021	91.2% · 212.07 left on the bench	92.3% · 183.06 left on the bench	not in the league	89.6% · 234.18 left on the bench	92.7% · 179.04 left on the bench	87.0% · 286.45 left on the bench	94.2% · 133.07 left on the bench	90.6% · 220.50 left on the bench	not in the league	90.7% · 229.56 left on the bench	89.7% · 217.96 left on the bench	93.8% · 139.29 left on the bench	93.7% · 163.20 left on the bench	not in the league	92.7% · 150.20 left on the bench
2022	85.0% · 322.58 left on the bench	91.6% · 175.06 left on the bench	not in the league	91.5% · 225.80 left on the bench	89.4% · 260.38 left on the bench	90.9% · 216.65 left on the bench	93.8% · 136.59 left on the bench	89.7% · 229.86 left on the bench	not in the league	93.6% · 144.46 left on the bench	89.6% · 233.90 left on the bench	94.0% · 143.25 left on the bench	92.6% · 185.82 left on the bench	not in the league	86.9% · 253.25 left on the bench
2023	87.9% · 265.10 left on the bench	not in the league	84.3% · 327.73 left on the bench	86.9% · 344.05 left on the bench	88.1% · 287.19 left on the bench	87.8% · 304.69 left on the bench	94.7% · 122.55 left on the bench	90.4% · 214.43 left on the bench	not in the league	91.1% · 206.95 left on the bench	84.6% · 374.34 left on the bench	92.8% · 167.45 left on the bench	92.7% · 169.15 left on the bench	not in the league	89.4% · 262.20 left on the bench
2024	87.9% · 257.14 left on the bench	not in the league	88.3% · 267.54 left on the bench	89.0% · 299.45 left on the bench	89.9% · 242.16 left on the bench	92.2% · 173.20 left on the bench	84.8% · 346.42 left on the bench	88.4% · 265.17 left on the bench	not in the league	91.6% · 207.13 left on the bench	83.0% · 405.72 left on the bench	87.9% · 288.55 left on the bench	90.2% · 246.87 left on the bench	not in the league	87.8% · 296.79 left on the bench
2025	92.3% · 187.43 left on the bench	not in the league	93.7% · 136.36 left on the bench	92.3% · 180.60 left on the bench	88.7% · 281.60 left on the bench	86.9% · 285.04 left on the bench	90.7% · 210.07 left on the bench	not in the league	86.8% · 313.23 left on the bench	87.1% · 278.68 left on the bench	87.2% · 294.82 left on the bench	88.7% · 255.65 left on the bench	86.8% · 299.79 left on the bench	not in the league	90.6% · 211.83 left on the bench

Values are percent. A dot marks a season the owner did not play.

Career

Career lineup efficiency by owner
Rank	Owner	Seasons	Weeks	Efficiency	Left per week	Perfect weeks	Regret losses	Gift wins	Playoff regret
1	Kyle	10	135	90.6%	15.61	16	20	19	2
2	Nolan	10	135	90.6%	15.73	19	23	24	4
3	Ben	10	135	90.0%	17.49	7	17	26	5
4	Dylan	9	121	89.6%	17.21	12	19	22	5
5	Evan	10	135	89.4%	17.67	13	18	35	2
6	Bo	6	83	89.0%	17.57	7	11	19	1
7	Noah	10	135	88.9%	19.90	9	25	22	4
8	Gavin	3	42	88.8%	17.42	3	11	5	2
9	Alex	10	135	88.7%	20.25	13	27	20	4
10	Kent	10	135	88.5%	18.72	5	30	15	5
11	Kevin	4	52	87.7%	18.93	6	11	8	0
12	Kris	7	93	87.3%	20.59	10	15	15	2
13	Sirac	1	14	86.8%	22.86	0	2	1	2
14	Jake	10	135	86.7%	22.58	7	29	28	5
15	Ryan	10	135	85.8%	23.92	5	29	28	5

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Efficiency is points started over the best possible lineup, with MFL points scaled to Sleeper-era scoring. A perfect week leaves under 0.01 on the bench.

Finals lost on the bench

Finals lost while the best lineup would have won
Season	Owner	Beat by	Started	Best lineup	Opponent	Lost by
2016	Ben	Kent	148.00	183.00	151.00	3.00
2017	Ben	Evan	115.00	133.00	121.00	6.00
2021	Nolan	Evan	132.86	154.66	133.70	0.84
2022	Noah	Alex	153.25	180.00	159.28	6.03
2025	Kent	Noah	153.63	170.73	162.60	8.97

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The worst start/sit calls

Ten largest start/sit gaps
Season	Wk	Owner	Benched	Pts	Started instead	Pts	Gap
2023	3	Dylan	De'Von Achane (RB)	51.30	Kendre Miller (RB) at FLEX	4.40	46.90
2019	7	Noah	Marvin Jones (WR)	43.30	William Fuller (WR) at WR	1.60	41.70
2019	4	Evan	Chris Godwin (WR)	41.20	Mecole Hardman (WR) at WR	0.90	40.30
2019	13	Jake	James White (RB)	37.70	Kalen Ballage (RB) at RB	0.00	37.70
2018	3	Jake	Calvin Ridley (WR)	40.50	Larry Fitzgerald (WR) at WR	2.90	37.60
2019	5	Ben	DJ Chark (WR)	36.40	Mike Evans (WR) at WR	0.00	36.40
2016	3	Ryan	Jameis Winston (QB)	31.00	Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB) at QB	−4.00	35.00
2024	13	Ben	Jerry Jeudy (WR)	40.50	T.J. Hockenson (TE) at FLEX	5.80	34.70
2019	15 (playoff)	Jake	Kenyan Drake (RB)	39.60	Robert Woods (WR) at WR	5.70	33.90
2023	16 (playoff)	Nolan	George Pickens (WR)	34.50	Davante Adams (WR) at WR	1.40	33.10

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Most points left on the bench in a week

Ten weeks with the most points left on the bench
Season	Wk	Owner	Opponent	Started	Best lineup	Left	Result
2023	4	Bo	Kent	123.73	204.63	80.90	Won anyway
2016	7	Ryan	Dylan	88.00	160.00	72.00	Lost
2024	9	Ryan	Alex	137.04	207.19	70.15	Lost
2019	13	Jake	Ben	102.40	171.20	68.80	Won anyway
2018	3	Jake	Noah	105.50	173.80	68.30	Lost
2016	3	Ryan	Kris	76.00	144.00	68.00	Lost
2024	4	Kent	Gavin	118.34	185.68	67.34	Lost
2023	14	Noah	Ryan	121.08	188.28	67.20	Lost
2023	7	Ryan	Evan	112.71	175.16	62.45	Lost
2019	1	Noah	Ryan	66.80	127.70	60.90	Lost

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2026 so far

Lineup efficiency, 2026 so far
Owner	Team	Weeks	Efficiency	Left	Perfect weeks	Regret losses
Noah	Diabetic Dynasty	3	96.1%	22.82	1	0
Kent	Baby Back Gibbs	3	94.3%	32.80	0	1
Kyle	Steiner’s Stallions	3	91.4%	42.60	0	0
Gavin	—	3	90.4%	46.70	0	1
Nolan	Skol Gophers	3	87.3%	57.05	0	0
Ryan	Straight Ca$h Homie	3	87.3%	67.40	0	0
Sirac	—	3	86.3%	55.75	0	2
Ben	Notorious CTE	3	85.7%	59.93	0	0
Evan	The Greenweenies	3	85.4%	73.54	0	1
Alex	Schamerz	3	83.0%	99.84	0	1
Bo	FoolsBall	3	82.8%	93.06	0	1
Jake	Giebler's Elfs	3	70.3%	133.42	0	1

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Not in the career table above.

Sleeper era only

Waiver-wire economics

FAAB arrived with Sleeper in 2021 at $100 and now stands at $300.

Budget used
$8,976
of $14,400 across 5 seasons
Winning claims
851
325 at $0 · 494 failed
Bids of $40 or more
10
1 returned 50 points or more

2021 ($100 budget)
2022 ($200 budget)
2023 ($300 budget)
2024 ($300 budget)
2025 ($300 budget)

Fig. 10. Cumulative share of each season's in-season FAAB dollars spent by week. Preseason claims are excluded.

Cumulative share of each season's in-season FAAB dollars spent by week
Series	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17
2021 ($100 budget)	10%	16%	22%	37%	45%	54%	60%	71%	74%	82%	86%	91%	93%	97%	97%	100%	100%
2022 ($200 budget)	10%	19%	26%	31%	37%	45%	53%	59%	67%	72%	81%	86%	90%	96%	99%	100%	100%
2023 ($300 budget)	23%	27%	30%	36%	48%	54%	64%	69%	73%	80%	88%	93%	95%	98%	99%	100%	100%
2024 ($300 budget)	5%	23%	29%	40%	42%	50%	58%	65%	73%	77%	77%	81%	91%	99%	99%	100%	100%
2025 ($300 budget)	7%	13%	18%	32%	50%	66%	66%	70%	74%	75%	80%	92%	94%	97%	100%	100%	100%

FAAB by season
Season	Budget	League spend	Share	Claims	Failed	Week-1 spend
2021	$100	$833	69%	146	114	$86
2022	$200	$1,576	66%	157	88	$75
2023	$300	$2,349	65%	194	103	$178
2024	$300	$2,212	61%	182	106	$257
2025	$300	$2,006	56%	172	83	$276

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Claim counts run below league spend because in-season claims are on record only from 2022.

Who spends

Fig. 11. Share of FAAB budget used, by owner.

Share of FAAB budget used by owner
Owner	of budget used
Kent ($1,083 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	90%
Evan ($891 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	74%
Gavin ($663 of $900 over 3 seasons)	74%
Ryan ($861 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	72%
Jake ($860 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	72%
Dylan ($585 of $900 over 4 seasons)	65%
Noah ($769 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	64%
Bo ($706 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	59%
Kris ($169 of $300 over 2 seasons)	56%
Nolan ($620 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	52%
Ben ($594 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	50%
Alex ($547 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	46%
Kyle ($530 of $1,200 over 5 seasons)	44%
Sirac ($98 of $300 over 1 season)	33%

Career FAAB by owner
Owner	Seasons	Budget used	Budget	Share	Claims	$0 claims	Failed	Return	Pts per $	$40+ bids, hits
Kent	5	$1,083	$1,200	90%	75	26	41	1,586.21	3.43	2, 0
Evan	5	$891	$1,200	74%	80	40	37	1,733.83	3.75	2, 0
Gavin	3	$663	$900	74%	51	22	12	1,043.08	3.08	1, 0
Ryan	5	$861	$1,200	72%	101	30	87	1,312.74	3.76	0, 0
Jake	5	$860	$1,200	72%	77	43	55	875.46	2.48	1, 0
Dylan	4	$585	$900	65%	53	16	12	1,347.49	4.18	1, 0
Noah	5	$769	$1,200	64%	88	19	30	1,047.07	2.28	1, 0
Bo	5	$706	$1,200	59%	36	2	16	766.87	2.02	0, 0
Kris	2	$169	$300	56%	11	7	6	237.01	5.04	0, 0
Nolan	5	$620	$1,200	52%	47	9	14	1,085.71	3.86	0, 0
Ben	5	$594	$1,200	50%	59	16	22	1,598.24	5.12	0, 0
Alex	5	$547	$1,200	46%	95	44	94	1,040.28	2.72	1, 0
Kyle	5	$530	$1,200	44%	74	47	67	1,253.37	5.01	1, 1
Sirac	1	$98	$300	33%	4	4	1	148.75	—	0, 0

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The highest bids

Ten highest winning bids
Season	Wk	Owner	Player	Bid	Return	Pts per $	Note
2021	8	Evan	Jeremy McNichols (RB)	$69	1.80	0.03	Expensive bid, miss
2021	4	Jake	Damien Williams (RB)	$65	16.40	0.25	Expensive bid, miss
2024	13	Kent	Ray Davis (RB)	$60	0.00	0.00	Expensive bid, miss
2021	1	Kyle	Elijah Mitchell (RB)	$55	111.80	2.03	Expensive bid, hit
2025	Pre	Gavin	KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR)	$51	0.00	0.00	Expensive bid, miss
2025	5	Evan	Emari Demercado (RB)	$48	0.00	0.00	Expensive bid, miss
2021	5	Kent	Darrel Williams (RB)	$46	44.35	0.96	Expensive bid, miss
2022	9	Alex	Jeff Wilson (RB)	$41	13.80	0.34	Expensive bid, miss
2023	6	Dylan	Zach Evans (RB)	$41	0.00	0.00	Expensive bid, miss
2025	4	Noah	Tre Tucker (WR)	$40	8.30	0.21	Expensive bid, miss

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Best returns

Eight claims with the most started points
Season	Wk	Owner	Player	Bid	Return	Pts per $
2025	Pre	Kent	Jordyn Brooks (LB)	$0	208.00	—
2023	1	Evan	Fred Warner (LB)	$0	200.25	—
2024	2	Dylan	Sam Darnold (QB)	$32	185.33	5.79
2023	1	Ben	Patrick Queen (LB)	$7	170.75	—
2025	1	Ben	Tyrel Dodson (LB)	$1	163.25	—
2021	2	Bo	Cordarrelle Patterson (RB)	$2	162.80	—
2023	3	Kent	Quincy Williams (LB)	$1	161.50	—
2021	3	Bo	Hunter Renfrow (WR)	$5	161.25	—

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Bricks and bargains

Five costliest misses and three best bargains
Season	Wk	Owner	Player	Bid	Return	Note
2024	13	Kent	Ray Davis (RB)	$60	0.00	Brick
2025	Pre	Gavin	KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR)	$51	0.00	Brick
2025	5	Evan	Emari Demercado (RB)	$48	0.00	Brick
2023	6	Dylan	Zach Evans (RB)	$41	0.00	Brick
2025	12	Bo	Emanuel Wilson (RB)	$39	0.00	Brick
2024	3	Noah	Andrew Van Ginkel (LB)	$13	135.50	Bargain
2022	7	Dylan	Geno Smith (QB)	$10	98.96	Bargain
2025	2	Gavin	Daniel Jones (QB)	$17	154.73	Bargain

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2026 so far

$1,305 of $3,600 used across the league; the biggest spender so far is Noah at $235.

Five highest winning bids, 2026 so far
Season	Wk	Owner	Player	Bid	Return	Note
2026	Pre	Nolan	Chris Rodriguez (RB)	$100	0.00	Preseason claim
2026	2	Jake	Derrick Barnes (LB)	$30	13.00
2026	2	Jake	Jihaad Campbell (LB)	$30	10.75
2026	1	Noah	Josiah Trotter (LB)	$27	13.25
2026	1	Noah	Devin Singletary (RB)	$26	0.00

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Roster churn

MFL logged moves and Sleeper logs players, so the two eras are counted differently.

Career roster churn by owner
Owner	Seasons	Adds	Players added	Drops	Adds per season	Failed claims	Avg stint
Evan	2016–2025	517	407	464	51.7	37	1.61
Kent	2016–2025	483	416	465	48.3	41	1.47
Ryan	2016–2025	418	362	421	41.8	87	1.96
Jake	2016–2025	393	338	395	39.3	55	1.78
Kyle	2016–2025	364	325	372	36.4	67	1.79
Alex	2016–2025	319	264	308	31.9	94	2.11
Ben	2016–2025	296	229	281	29.6	22	2.00
Noah	2016–2025	284	242	297	28.4	30	1.76
Dylan	2016–2024	277	204	264	30.8	12	1.96
Nolan	2016–2025	215	165	215	21.5	14	2.17
Bo	2020–2025	212	195	215	35.3	16	1.70
Kris	2016–2022	212	170	219	30.3	6	1.61
Gavin	2023–2025	106	106	114	35.3	12	1.40
Kevin	2016–2019	54	29	68	13.5	0	1.47
Sirac	2025	9	9	8	9.0	1	1.00

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League median by season

League median adds and drops by season
Season	Median adds	Median drops	Moves, league
2016	27.0	30.5	363
2017	31.5	28.5	447
2018	38.5	36.5	503
2019	34.5	29.0	413
2020	44.0	36.5	552

2021	33.0	38.5	419
2022	33.5	41.5	395
2023	33.5	35.0	408
2024	33.0	32.0	384
2025	21.5	25.0	275
2026 (so far)	5.0	9.0	68

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Methods

Coverage: Completed seasons 2016–2025. 2026 is kept apart as "so far" and stays out of every career table and ranking. Lineup efficiency covers both eras; on MFL it uses the optimal lineup MFL scored under its own rules. Waiver-bid figures are Sleeper only, since MFL used waiver priority and first come, first served, with no bids.
Era-adjusted points: Figures that add player points across seasons (cornerstones, draft return, pickups and career points left on the bench) scale each season to Sleeper-era scoring: a point is multiplied by the Sleeper seasons' average team score over that season's average. An MFL point counts 1.24 to 1.34 and a Sleeper point about 1. Single seasons and single games stay raw.
Trade scorecard: Trades are scored in wins above replacement: each week a player was started counts his points against the best players the league left on benches at his position that season, turned into the extra chance of winning that week. The count runs from the week after the trade through three more seasons, each later season worth 10% less, playoff games included. A pick counts as the player drafted with it, and an asset traded on keeps earning through what came back. Measuring each season against its own replacement level puts MFL and Sleeper on the same footing without era factors.
Rated games: Dynasty Elo and playoff records count regular-season, playoff, final, third-place games. Consolation, toilet-bowl and fifth-place games are never rated.
Regular-season weeks: Luck, weekly finish, scoring, consistency, closers and faders and the mid-season swing use regular-season weeks only: 13 through 2020, 14 from 2021.
All-play record: Each week, an owner gets a win for every one of the other 11 scores below theirs, a loss for every score above and a tie for every equal score. All-play percentage is wins plus half the ties over all those games.
Luck index: Expected wins are all-play percentage times games played. Luck is actual wins (ties count half) minus expected wins, summed over seasons for the career figure. A career ranking needs 2 seasons.
Median record: A median win is a week where the score beats the league median (the average of the 6th and 7th highest scores); anything else is a median loss. The median delta is actual wins minus median wins.
Pythagorean expectation: Expected wins are games played times PF^p divided by (PF^p + PA^p), from regular-season totals per owner-season. The power p is fitted by trying every value from 1.0 to 15.0 in steps of 0.1 and keeping the one with the smallest squared gap to actual wins (fitted power 6.7). Pythagorean luck is wins minus expected wins. The fit over 120 owner-seasons has a squared error of 152.2, against 358.5 for the classic 2.37.
Strength of schedule: Each opponent's points per game, divided by the league average and multiplied by 100, averaged over the owner's regular-season games. Career figures weight each season by games played.
Points-against index: Points against per game divided by the league average, times 100. Career figures weight each season by games played.
Weekly finish grid: Each regular-season score is ranked 1 to 12 within its week, highest first. Equal scores share the higher rank, so the one tie at the bottom (2016 week 12, two owners at 74) puts both at 11th and the grid has 134 twelfth places in 135 weeks, while both owners get a spoon.
Crowns: Weeks with the league's top score. A tie at the top crowns everyone tied.
Spoons: Weeks with the league's lowest score. A tie at the bottom gives everyone tied a spoon, so 136 spoons go out over 135 weeks.
Cheap wins: Regular-season wins while ranking 10th or worse in the week.
Bad beats: Regular-season losses while ranking in the week's top three.
Dynasty Elo: Every owner starts at 1500 at their first real game. Before each season, every rating moves one third of the way back toward 1500. The expected result comes from the rating gap: an even gap is 50% each and a 400-point gap gives the higher-rated owner 10-to-1 odds. After a game the two ratings move in opposite directions by the K factor times (actual result minus expected result), with 1 for a win, half for a tie and 0 for a loss. The K factor is 20 times (1 + ln(1 + 4 x margin of victory / the week's mean score)), where the week's mean is the average of both scores across all rated games that week. No home-field adjustment. Rated games are regular-season, playoff, title and third-place games; consolation, toilet-bowl and fifth-place games are skipped.
Upsets: Rated games where the pre-game rating gap was at least 50 points and the lower-rated owner won. The favorite win rate is the favorites' share of wins in all games with a gap of 50 or more. The list holds the 50 largest gaps.
Scoring environment: Mean, standard deviation, median, high and low of all regular-season team scores in each season, and of the 12 scores in each week.
Week-of-season index: For NFL week w: the average, over completed seasons, of that week's league mean score divided by that season's league mean, times 100. Week 14 exists in the Sleeper era only, and extremes consider weeks with 5 or more seasons.
Margin distribution: Regular-season margins of victory, binned 0-5, 5-10, 10-20, 20-30, 30-40, 40-50, 50-75, 75-100 and 100+, overall and per era.
Consistency profile: For each owner-season on regular-season scores: points per game, standard deviation, the coefficient of variation (deviation divided by points per game), the floor (20th percentile), the ceiling and the lowest score. Ranked from lowest variation, with at least 13 games.
Career consistency: Each regular-season score becomes a z-score against that week's league mean and standard deviation. The career profile is the mean and standard deviation of those z-scores over completed seasons, plus the 20th-percentile floor, the ceiling and the lowest z-score.
Closers vs faders: Regular seasons are split at week 7 (early is weeks 1 to 7, late is the rest), with the record and win share for each half. The delta is late win share minus early win share. Ranked with at least 20 games in each half.
Mid-season swing: Standings after week 7 (wins, then points for) are compared with the final position: the bracket seed for playoff teams, then non-playoff teams by final regular-season rank. The climb is the week-7 rank minus the final position. The playoff share is the share of week-7 top-six teams that reached the bracket.
Seed to finish: Bracket seed by final placement over the completed brackets (six seeds, seven in 2020), with titles and title-game appearances for each seed.
Points King: The owner with the most regular-season points. Outcome is title, lost final or missed final.
Playoff vs regular: Playoff wins and losses over real playoff games (playoff, title and third place) of completed seasons, with points per game. Each playoff score also becomes a z-score against every real bracket game that week, and the average is shown. The gap is playoff win percentage minus regular-season win percentage. Ranked with at least 3 playoff games.
Playoff streaks: An appearance is a place in the bracket field. Streaks and droughts count consecutive seasons the owner played; the active run is the one standing at the end of the owner's last completed season.
Optimal lineup: The best lineup for a week is the highest-scoring way to fill the 11 starter slots (QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, flex, IDP flex, DL, LB, DB) from that week's rostered players. An empty slot scores 0, so the optimal is never below the actual score. A player can fill a slot only if his current Sleeper position allows it, so a player whose position has since changed can be barred from a slot he really started in (one known case: Quincy Williams at DB, 2021 week 5, now listed at LB only).
Taxi and IR: Candidates are the players in a roster's weekly points listing, minus anyone on taxi or IR at season end unless he started that week. Taxi and IR status is only known at season end, so the computed optimal lands between 0.965 and 1.037 of Sleeper's own maximum points, checked for every owner-season.
Efficiency: Actual points are the starters' points, which match the matchup score in all 1,184 Sleeper lineups. Points left are optimal minus actual, and a perfect week has under 0.01 left. Efficiency is total actual over total optimal, every regular-season week (13 on MFL, 14 on Sleeper).
Regret losses and gift wins: A regret loss is a game lost where the optimal lineup would have beaten the opponent's actual score. A gift win is a game won where the opponent's optimal lineup would have beaten the winner's actual score. Owner and career counts cover regular-season weeks; the regret list also carries playoff games.
Worst start/sit: For every benched player and every slot he could have filled, the gap is his points minus the points of the player who started there. The largest gap is kept for each owner-week. The list holds each week's largest (weeks 1 to 17) plus the all-time and per-season top 10.
FAAB claims and return: Claims are completed Sleeper waiver claims. Return points are the claiming owner's started points for the player from the week after the claim through week 14, stopping at that owner's next drop or trade of him. Points per dollar is return points over the bid, for bids of $10 or more. An expensive claim is a bid of $40 or more, and a hit when it returns 50 points or more. A brick is a bid of $30 or more with the lowest return.
Season FAAB spend: Season spend is the budget Sleeper reports as used. The transaction record holds only in-season claims from 2022, so the bids listed can add up to less than the budget used. Claims processed more than a week before the NFL week 1 Thursday (July and August, 2024 to 2026) count as preseason and are left out of the weekly spend curves.
Burn curve: Each week's winning bids summed, preseason claims left out. Cumulative share is the running share of that season's in-season dollars.
Roster churn: MFL adds are free-agent and waiver transactions (2016 logged nearly every add as a waiver claim, and drop-only free-agent moves are included). Sleeper adds are players added by completed waiver and free-agent transactions. Players added and drops count the players actually added and dropped in both eras.
Average stint: The mean number of seasons a player spends with an owner, from the loyalty records on the Record Book page.
Owners are people: Kevin and Bo (seat 12), Kris and Gavin (seat 02) and Dylan and Sirac (seat 07) are separate rows everywhere.

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